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Sunday, February 17, 2008


Poll Shows Obama Leading in Texas

Texas, along with Ohio, is part of Sen. Clinton's "firewall," but an American Research Group poll shows Obama leading in the Lonestar state.

A couple of qualifications - firstly, ARG was recently ranked as one of the less reliable polls (admittedly by a rival pollster). Secondly, this is the first poll I've seen that shows Obama leading.

The question now becomes - is this an outlier? Are we seeing a trend or a blip or just a bad poll?

We also saw a first, a Gallup tracking poll showing Obama with a stastiscally significant, national lead.

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