Poll Shows Obama Leading in Texas

Texas, along with Ohio, is part of Sen. Clinton's "firewall," but an American Research Group poll shows Obama leading in the Lonestar state.

A couple of qualifications - firstly, ARG was recently ranked as one of the less reliable polls (admittedly by a rival pollster). Secondly, this is the first poll I've seen that shows Obama leading.

The question now becomes - is this an outlier? Are we seeing a trend or a blip or just a bad poll?

We also saw a first, a Gallup tracking poll showing Obama with a stastiscally significant, national lead.