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Thursday, January 24, 2008


"Giuliani for all intents and purposes has virtually no chance to win in Florida"

That quote is from pollster Rob Schroth in response to the new Miami Herald poll showing Rudy Giuliani in third place in Florida.

The race has passed the former mayor by and the the contest now appears to be between Mitt Romney and John McCain.

Most polls show McCain leading here in Florida, but I should note this poll by Public Policy Polling that shows Romney as the main beneficiary of Fred Thompson's decision to drop out. That poll gave Romney a 3 point lead - 28% to 25%. While well within the margin of error, if this poll does, as it claims, reflect the effects of Thompson's withdrawal from the race, then it is something that should be taken seriously.

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