Tuesday, July 24, 2007

New Quinnipiac Poll for Florida Adds Bloomberg to the Mix

The new poll from Quinnipiac provides a snapshot of a Florida general election between 2 and then 3 of New York's biggest names - Senator Hillary Clinton, former New York City Mayor Rudy Giuliani, and current New York City Mayor Michael Bloomberg (see photo).

In a two way race in Florida, Giuliani leads Clinton 46-44%, but in a three way race with former Republican and now unaffiliated Michael Bloomberg (Bloomberg was also a Democrat before running for Mayor as a Republican, but his GOP bonafides were burnished by extensive fundraising for conservative Republicans like Mississippi Governor Haley Barbour), Clinton leads with 41% and Giuliani gets 39% with Bloomberg getting 9%.

Illinois Sen. Barack Obama tops former Tennessee Sen. Fred Thompson 42-39%. In a three-way race, Obama doubles his lead over Thompson to 38-32%, with 14% for Bloomberg.

In other general election match-ups, Clinton defeats Thompson 48-39% and tops Arizona Sen. John McCain 46-40%. Obama defeats McCain 42-38% and loses to Giuliani 47-39%.

The poll also tests former Vice President Al Gore against various Republicans, but I do not believe that Gore will run and I believe that including him in the equation gives a misleading picture of the race.

The general election poll has a margin of error of +/- 3%, so many of the matchups are actually a statistical dead heat.

Click here for complete results, including a look at each party's primary.


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