Wednesday, July 18, 2007

Martinez Drawing an Opponent?

Moves being made to open up a state senate seat for soon to be former House Democratic leader Dan Gelber. Senator Gwen Margolis will not be running for re-election in 2008 and Rep. Gelber has already opened up a campaign account for a state senate campaign.

When legislation was passed allowing state electeds to run for federal office without giving up their state seat, our first thoughts went to what that meant for Congressman Bill Young, with particular attention to newly elected State Senator Charlie Justice's prospects - who had just won a strong victory despite being heavily outspent, both by his opponent and by outside groups (mainly funded by insurance companies) supporting his opponent.

I did not look at how the new rules would affect Mel Martinez - our unpopular junior Senator and chair of the RNC.

But it does appear that this puts Gelber, a strong fundraiser, in the cat bird's seat in 2010. As a state senator who would not be up for re-election until 2012, he could run without sacrificing his soon to be current post - unlike CFO Alex Sink, who might prefer to wait until 2014 and run for Governor.


At 7/23/2007 05:29:00 PM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

Martinez should never have accepted the position of RNC chairman.

By the time he's up for re-election, he will have resigned in relative disgrace (after losing the white house and failing to make gains in the senate or house), but will still be tarred as a partisan in a state which prefers post-partisans like moderate Democrat Alex Sink and liberal Republican Charlie Crist.

In fact, don't be surprised to see either of those two challenge him the primary or general election.

At 7/28/2007 06:26:00 PM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

Neither Sink or Crist are running for the US Senate. No way. No chance, or at least, not against Martinez.

Gelber would be a very strong candidate. He is an excellent public speaker (maybe the best among Florida Democrats), is very bright and showed in 2006 that he knows how to build a political operation.

I have to imagine his one-time boss, former Georgia Senator Sam Nunn would be encouraging him as well.


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